About Bert Dohmen

Bert Dohmen is a serious analyst and a trader. You've probably seen him on national TV such as CNBC, Neil Cavuto's show on FOXNEWS, CNN, or read his views in Barron's, the Wall Street Journal, Investor's Business Daily, Business Week, etc. He is a professional trader, investor, and analyst. As founder of Dohmen Capital Research, he has been giving his analysis and forecasts to traders and investors for over 36 years. What he notices in the markets in his own trading each day, he relays to his subscribers. Bert Dohmen looks behind the scenes of the global investment markets. He analyzes cross-market relationships, global correlations, and credit market data which give him superb clues as to what is likely to happen in various markets that are ignored by other analysts. Read more about Bert Dohmen

2018: Year of Great Opportunities and Traps For Investors

The year 2017 has been stellar for stock market investors. Interestingly, most of the rise has been caused by enthusiasm about the future.

The large reductions in the governmental regulations, hopes that there will be more in the future, hopes that tax cuts will be substantial and fuel future economic growth, and hopes that the efforts of the far left to derail the president’s growth agenda will fail, have all led to the rise in optimism among investors.

Wall Street firms have just issued their forecasts for the stock market in 2018. The forecasts seem to be looking for 10%–15%

Beware: “Sentiment” is Not an Exact Market-Timing Tool

For the past several months, we have heard many top hedge fund and other analysts voicing their concern about the markets, with some forecasting a crash or at least a sharp plunge because of overvaluations.

Former hedge fund manager Jim Rogers, now residing in Asia, told Business Insider that the greatest crash of our lifetime will happen “later this year or next.” He says, “Be worried.”

Another well-known analyst, Marc Faber, told CNBC that he sees a plummet of 40% or more, and “it will end very badly, extremely badly.” He didn’t say when.

Analyst David Stockman, former budget director for

By |November 29th, 2017|Tags: , , , , , |

The Great Oil Short Squeeze

As you know, the oil industry has been in a severe depression since 2014. Oil prices plummeted from over $100/barrel all the way down to $30/barrel. Today, that figure hovers around $50 and is showing little signs of returning back to the $100 level any time soon. As bullish speculators continue to get burned by “demand is finally back” or “supply is finally falling,” more and more oil giants fall on serious hard times.

Will Tax Bill Produce a Real Estate Debacle, or is a Boom Ahead?

Lately at Dohmen Capital, we are seeing how the Real Estate market now is somewhat reminiscent of the environment leading up to the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. However, we must keep in mind that there was a roughly two year lead time between the first signals of excesses and the crash of 2008.

Between 2008- 2009, many investors were burned, with the estimated losses equaling over 20 trillion U.S dollars.

Could Retail Continue to Sink to the Lows Seen in 2008?

Could Retail
Continue to Sink to
the Lows Seen in
2008?

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The Retail sector is getting hit hard once again, while many of the big retailers gather at a conference this week. The CEOs of some of the major department stores continue to tout “big growth areas” for their firms in the near future.

Time To Punish Slander And Fake News in the U.S.

Germany is proposing legislation to combat the avalanche of fake “news” by imposing heavy fines on media outlets that disseminate slanderous and defamatory material while doing nothing to try to prevent the publishing of such falsehoods. It would be the opposite of U.S. law, which basically gives immunity to the media outlets that post or carry such often malicious articles.

According to the New York Timesmajor social media firms like Facebook and Twitter may be faced with huge fines, up to $53 million, if they don’t comply with a newly proposed law by Germany’s minister of justice and

How A Big Hedge Fund Ace Lost 95%

One of the biggest hedge fund managers, Bill Ackman, considered to be one of brightest, lost over 95% in one of his largest positions, Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX).

He held the stock for about 3 years, while the stock plunged from $257 to $11 on March 14, 2017. On March 13, he declared he had sold his entire position in Valeant.