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We just read that the federal government is running its largest deficit as a percentage of GDP outside of WWII period. Another great achievement! And next year we are likely to see the greatest money creation out of thin air in the entire history of the US. The Fed...
(Written by Bert Dohmen, contains excerpts from our latest Wellington Letter issue) This year has been the “Year of Great Deceptions,” as we have frequently pointed out. The market has been deceptively promoted as having big gains in 2023. Yet, the naïve investors and...
Global market authority Bert Dohmen has been saying for a number of months that the stock market would be OK until the end of August, and then start a strong decline in September. So far that has been right on target. This current period reminds us of the period...
Apple has been the hot topic lately. Yet, over one month ago I warned about the decline in the stock saying “when Apple can’t even be supported, watch out below!” That was on August 4th, the day Apple’s stock plunged 4.8%, its worst single day drop in...
Markets Suffer Big Losses Since the Start of August…But is the Selling Just Getting Started? Stocks have sold off over the first two weeks of August. At first the selling was hidden in the lesser looked at indices like the NYSE Composite and Russell 2000. But...
The most often asked question of analysts in the media is whether this is a new bull market. The majority seems to be saying it is. We at Dohmen Capital Research are on the opposite side of that debate. Investors are being told that the S&P 500 gained over 20%...
In our business, over the past 46 years we have used several slogans to explain what we specialize in. One is: “Timing is everything.” Another: “Where you see tomorrow’s headlines today.” The latter was confirmed this week. We wrote an article in early February about...
About 7 weeks ago, on April 16, we wrote to our Wellington Letter members: “Gold is still near term bullish. But beware of a potentially strong correction. The probability is high that the 2020 high will be reached and perhaps briefly exceeded. Old highs, the further...
My suggestion to you, Chair Powell, is “Stop Hiking Rates and Tighten Credit Instead.” The above suggestion of what the Fed should consider does not mean it would be painless. Once big inflation has been caused by central banks, which are the only durable sources of...
Most analysts still hang on the false conclusion of a “strong labor market” and how it is a key factor to their “new bull market” thesis. Don’t these people read? Didn’t these analysts hear about the huge layoffs, with the biggest companies in the tech sector now...
