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(Written by Bert Dohmen, contains excerpts from our latest Wellington Letter published August 25, 2024) After the huge selloff in early August, due to the big unwinding of the Yen Carry Trade, the markets have staged a swift and sharp rebound off their August 5th...
Currently we’re seeing an ever-increasing number of preliminary warning signs for the markets. The big smart money is already lightening up their positions. You can see that when companies announce very good results but the stocks get hit by lots of selling. That is...
(Written by Bert Dohmen, contains excerpts from our latest Wellington Letter published on June 9, 2024) The big AI stocks had some nice gains on Monday (6/11/2024). These stocks, along with AI-related firms, should be considered long-term investments. But even that...
We have been referring to the growth of M2 (money supply) as one of the factors that shows that the Fed has NOT been fighting inflation in our previous articles (“What’s Truly Fueling the AI Stock Market Rally” and “The Makings of a Huge Speculative Frenzy, Bigger...
In our previous article, “What’s Truly Fueling the AI Stock Market Rally,” we explained how the Fed’s current loose monetary policy is opposite of what they say publicly and is the primary driver of the recent market rally. In late 2023, we got some signals that the...
The latest big market rally has been driven by all the hoopla around Artificial Intelligence (AI) and how transformative it is and will be in the coming years. While this huge technological advancement has surely been a big catalyst for stocks in and related to AI,...
On Monday, January 22nd, China was almost melting down, with the CSI 1000 Index plunging nearly 6%. As a result, China’s government prohibited short selling of stocks that same day. That is always the failing remedy for interfering with market forces. What is next?...
We just read that the federal government is running its largest deficit as a percentage of GDP outside of WWII period. Another great achievement! And next year we are likely to see the greatest money creation out of thin air in the entire history of the US. The Fed...
(Written by Bert Dohmen, contains excerpts from our latest Wellington Letter issue) This year has been the “Year of Great Deceptions,” as we have frequently pointed out. The market has been deceptively promoted as having big gains in 2023. Yet, the naïve investors and...
Global market authority Bert Dohmen has been saying for a number of months that the stock market would be OK until the end of August, and then start a strong decline in September. So far that has been right on target. This current period reminds us of the period...